Alan's 2004 Oscar Predictions


This year I scored 20/24.  That's 83%.  
Unfortunately we tied for the Fisher\Wiseman AMPPy.  Score 2 to 2.

Best Picture
Will Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Might Win: Mystic River
Should Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Did Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Best Director
Will Win: Peter Jackson, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Might Win: Clint Eastwood, Mystic River
Should Win: Peter Jackson, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Did Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Best Actor (Incorrect)
Will Win: Bill Murray, Lost in Translation
Might Win: Sean Penn, Mystic River
Should Win: Bill Murray, Lost in Translation
Did Win: Sean Penn, Mystic River

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Tim Robbins, Mystic River
Might Win: Alec Baldwin, The Cooler / Djimon Hounsou, In America
Should Win: Tim Robbins, Mystic River
Did Win: Tim Robbins, Mystic River

Best Actress
Will Win: Charlize Theron, Monster
Might Win: Diane Keaton, Something’s Gotta Give
Should Win: Charlize Theron, Monster
Did Win:
Charlize Theron, Monster

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Renée Zellweger, Cold Mountain
Might Win: Shohreh Aghdashloo, House of Sand and Fog
Should Win: Shohreh Aghdashloo, House of Sand and Fog
Did Win: Renée Zellweger, Cold Mountain

Best Screenplay (original)
Will Win: Lost in Translation
Might Win: In America
Should Win: Lost in Translation
Did Win: Lost in Translation

Best Screenplay (adaptation) (Incorrect)
Will Win: Mystic River
Might Win: Seabiscuit
Should Win: American Splendor
Did Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Cinematography (Incorrect)
Will Win: Seabiscuit
Might Win: Girl with a Pearl Earring
Should Win: City of God
Did Win: Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World

Visual Effects
Will Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Might Win: Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Should Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Did Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Costume Design
Will Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Might Win: The Last Samurai
Should Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Did Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Sound Mixing
Will Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Might Win: Seabiscuit
Should Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Did Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Original Song
Will Win: “Into the West,” The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Might Win: “You Will Be My Ain True Love,” Cold Mountain
Should Win: “A Kiss at the End of the Rainbow,” A Mighty Wind
Did Win:
“Into the West,” The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Best Animated Feature Film
Will Win: Finding Nemo
Might Win: The Triplets of Belleville
Should Win: The Triplets of Belleville
Did Win: Finding Nemo

Best Documentary Feature
Will Win: The Fog of War
Might Win: Capturing the Friedmans
Should Win: Capturing the Friedmans
Did Win: The Fog of War

Film Editing
Will Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Might Win: ?
Should Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Did Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Art Direction

Will Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Might Win: ?
Should Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Did Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Makeup
Will Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Might Win: Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl
Should Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Did Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Sound Editing
Will Win: Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Might Win: ?
Should Win: Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Did Win: Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World

Original Score
Will Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Might Win: ?
Should Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Did Win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Best Foreign Language Film
Will Win: The Barbarian Invasions
Might Win: ?
Should Win: ?
Did Win: The Barbarian Invasions

Best Documentary Short Subject
Will Win: Chernobyl Heart
Might Win: Asylum
Should Win: ?
Did Win: Chernobyl Heart

Best Animated Short Film (Incorrect)

Will Win: Boundin’
Might Win: ?
Should Win: ?
Did Win: Harvie Krumpett

Best Live Action Short Film
Will Win: Two Soldiers
Might Win: ?
Should Win: ?
Did Win: Two Soldiers